After the release of the employment data, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January next year has slightly increased to 31%.

BlockBeats News, December 16th, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, after the release of the US employment data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year has slightly increased from 24.4% to 31%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 69%.

The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged until March next year is 43.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 45.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 10.9%.

The dates of the next two FOMC meetings are January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026, respectively.